Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 64.428454 72.962444 81.724922 91.361814 101.630927 112.216685 123.923831
2025-06-22 52.077473 64.363553 77.580897 92.722463 109.460783 127.281958 147.576396
2025-06-29 43.432565 57.568276 73.335365 91.946902 113.056677 136.025117 162.681538
2025-07-06 35.994268 51.121990 68.592079 89.788535 114.382558 141.643928 173.786460
2025-07-13 33.002080 49.469700 68.997182 93.172019 121.678288 153.685769 191.831200
2025-07-20 29.863833 47.258863 68.430164 95.147669 127.127975 163.459629 207.176574
2025-07-27 26.091817 43.858174 66.103005 94.748091 129.567671 169.594962 218.220326
2025-08-03 22.670557 40.576627 63.651077 93.959321 131.347452 174.806928 228.069794
2025-08-10 20.246815 38.408368 62.429387 94.533348 134.639234 181.694951 239.789573
2025-08-17 17.651842 35.744050 60.365793 93.884376 136.309351 186.563113 249.066999
2025-08-24 15.679694 33.790600 59.100961 94.134042 138.991438 192.569037 259.632499
2025-08-31 13.522854 31.333561 56.985267 93.144361 140.022671 196.508444 267.685575
2025-09-07 12.285222 30.226948 56.702994 94.560789 144.112078 204.217675 280.336408
2025-09-14 11.194933 29.251723 56.538990 96.091367 148.326039 212.079117 293.189932
2025-09-21 9.592206 27.218526 54.714078 95.276541 149.457886 216.101668 301.377872
2025-09-28 7.842553 24.680473 51.974997 93.076350 148.694251 217.703904 306.572740
2025-10-05 7.559196 24.846624 53.313204 96.530403 155.308396 228.485039 322.950913
2025-10-12 6.988046 24.385103 53.644726 98.547204 160.023085 236.893947 336.443187
2025-10-19 5.983322 22.912427 52.308417 98.139337 161.490005 241.202771 344.897937
2025-10-26 5.019086 21.361484 50.747042 97.334193 162.373337 244.738290 352.375722
2025-11-02 4.394319 20.457144 50.176290 97.920143 165.091824 250.579679 362.690708
2025-11-09 3.646903 19.116501 48.795411 97.257689 166.081751 254.194010 370.230325
2025-11-16 3.113634 18.194755 48.063002 97.512546 168.289173 259.346260 379.672045